đ„ Fascinating study by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago on the collapse of the worldâs largest Crypto Shadow Banks! đš
Crypto Shadow Banks had a simple & highly attractive pitch: loan out Bitcoins or stablecoins and receive âguaranteedâ interest rate payments of 8%. At the same time, interest rates on bank accounts were effectively 0%. Celsius told its clients that âBanks are not your friendsâ and âUnbank yourself,â and Voyager Digital urged them to âBeat your bank.â
I have written before that Crypto Shadow Banks have been under regulatory scrutiny. Coinbase received a warning from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its Earn product. BlockFi paid a $100 million penalty for violating securities laws by offering unregistered securities. SEC brought the same charges against Genesis & Gemini and against Celsius by several state regulators.
FED study finds 3 shocks that lead to the demise of Crypto Shadow Banks đ
1ïžâŁ The collapse of the TerraUSD stablecoin. Celsius and Voyager Digital saw outflows of 20% and 14% of funds, over 11 days. Celsius had invested almost $1 billion in TerraUSD. BlockFi had outflows of $4.4 billion.
2ïžâŁ The failure of the crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC), because of the collapse of TerraUSD. Celsius and Voyager Digital had outflows of 10% and 39% of funds. Voyager Digital outflows started the day Celsius paused withdrawals. BlockFi had $3.3 billion in outflows.
3AC borrowed $2.4 billion from Genesis, $1 billion from BlockFi, $350 million, and $328 million from Voyager. All of the loans were uncollateralized.
To survive, Genesis received a loan from Digital Currency Group (DCG). BlockFi received an investment from FTX, with a right to acquire BlockFi. Voyager secured a credit line from Alameda but declared bankruptcy anyway.
3ïžâŁ The failure of FTX in November 2022. FTX reported outflows of 37% of funds, within just two days. At Genesis and BlockFi, customers withdrew about 21% and 12% of their funds. At this point, BlockFi was effective without any assets.
The collapse of Crypto Shadow Banks was different than typical bank runs đ
â Clients of Crypto Shadow Banks did not have deposit insurance, but they have been under the illusion their deposits were safe. Alex Mashinsky of Celsius lied that his firm didnât have any exposure to the collapse of TerraUSD. Voyager Digital tweeted that âUSD held with Voyager is FDIC insured up to $250K.â Samuel Bankman-Fried of FTX has been charged with multiple types of fraud.
đ§ The bank runs were led by sophisticated institutional clients with large accounts. Clients at Celsius with over $500,000, were the fastest to withdraw and 35% of all withdrawals were by accounts with more than $1 million.
đ€ The runs were purely electronic, with customers withdrawing funds through apps or web portals with ease.
đ§ All Crypto Shadow Banks underestimated the magnitude of the bank runs. Their liquidity buffers were insufficient, if they ever even existed.
The collapse of Crypto Shadow Banks put severe pressure on Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank, which closed or failed in 2023, contributing along with the failure of Silicon Valley Bank to the recent banking turmoil.
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